Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.359775 0.410513 0.464754 0.526928 0.596095 0.670548 0.756622
2025-11-16 0.272192 0.339899 0.417816 0.513591 0.627590 0.758355 0.919084
2025-11-23 0.208753 0.284154 0.377170 0.499112 0.653378 0.840551 1.083158
2025-11-30 0.169440 0.250049 0.356089 0.503459 0.700259 0.951013 1.291171
2025-12-07 0.135101 0.215778 0.328708 0.494578 0.727521 1.037921 1.476638
2025-12-14 0.111641 0.192104 0.311439 0.495807 0.766717 1.142306 1.692559
2025-12-21 0.090862 0.168331 0.289913 0.487118 0.789583 1.224742 1.883745
2025-12-28 0.079965 0.158153 0.287095 0.505190 0.852104 1.366968 2.168427
2026-01-04 0.070654 0.148815 0.283937 0.521662 0.912784 1.510043 2.463309
2026-01-11 0.060756 0.136456 0.273708 0.524831 0.951954 1.622545 2.719019
2026-01-18 0.052150 0.124814 0.262847 0.525144 0.985640 1.727844 2.969199
2026-01-25 0.044649 0.113845 0.251468 0.522790 1.013875 1.825403 3.212064
2026-02-01 0.038221 0.103974 0.240967 0.521154 1.043773 1.928780 3.472752
2026-02-08 0.033000 0.095687 0.232337 0.521878 1.077634 2.040706 3.753905
2026-02-15 0.028004 0.086783 0.221029 0.515890 1.098408 2.131356 4.004664
2026-02-22 0.024964 0.082075 0.217968 0.525918 1.149570 2.277394 4.356525
2026-03-01 0.021283 0.074762 0.207917 0.520156 1.169714 2.369460 4.620234
2026-03-08 0.018689 0.069821 0.202555 0.523623 1.207901 2.495857 4.949979
2026-03-15 0.015872 0.063449 0.192678 0.515871 1.222630 2.579683 5.208042
2026-03-22 0.014732 0.062015 0.194927 0.535728 1.295361 2.775532 5.676905
2026-03-29 0.013606 0.060344 0.196295 0.553613 1.365152 2.969354 6.150749
2026-04-05 0.012045 0.056740 0.191927 0.557305 1.404826 3.107248 6.527496
2026-04-12 0.010572 0.052998 0.186550 0.557858 1.437540 3.233063 6.887101